CAKE/USDT Long — October 4, 2025

DXY stable, UST 10Y easing, real yields drifting lower. ETF flows mixed. Base case: go long 3.5894, suggested tiered take-profits 4.0201, 4.4868 and 5.7430; protected by a stop at 2.4585.

Macro Context

DXY stable; UST 10Y easing; tightening odds fade. Risk tone risk-on in pockets.

CAKE sits at the intersection of narrative and liquidity — an emerging altcoin with cyclical liquidity; listings, partnerships and macro risk steer demand.

The trading plan is deliberately level-driven: respect 3.5894 as the risk anchor and keep the stop at 2.4585. Continuation signals are clean closes above prior supply and rotation toward the first resistance cluster.

This pair trades on perpetual futures (.spot/linear) with funding as a positioning tell. Watch for spot volume to lead and for funding to cool on pullbacks — that is where higher-low entries carry best.

Technical

Macro tailwinds + reclaim-and-hold keep CAKE biased to the numeric targets. EMAs align and momentum confirms early advantage to buyers.

Key Levels

• Entry: 3.5894
• Targets: 4.0201 → 4.4868 → 5.7430
• Stoploss: 2.4585

Risk

Respect event risk (CPI/NFP/FOMC). Reduce size into macro prints.

Position & Risk Notes — CAKE:

• Treat 2.4585 as a circuit breaker, not a suggestion; capital preserved > perfect entries.
• Prefer adds on higher-lows after acceptance; avoid adding into resistance with hot funding.
• Cap daily loss at −2R and stop for the day; discipline compounds better than hero trades.
• CAKE tends to overshoot during squeezes; avoid adding above resistance after vertical candles.